MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4956f8614d7a5b0d7910729fa0c6343da29365728ff198c0c25834cb07cdcbf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 81,300$41,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,463 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 60,100$30,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,651 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 47,016$24,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,558.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 25,904$12,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,210.94 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 20,510$9,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,552.67 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 17,559$8,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,021.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 15,540$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,222.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Seattle Mariners | 15c | 12,791$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.64 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 9,894$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.99 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 9,694$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.87 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 9,361$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 8,882$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 8,230$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.41 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 8,039$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 6,763$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 6,084$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 2c | 4,611$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 4,467$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kansas City Royals | 73c | 4,176$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.37 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.31 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,584$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 2,571$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 1,841$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,560$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.66 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,524$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.93 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,381$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.15 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 1,358$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 1,237$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.4 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 1,201$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.21 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 26c | 1,022$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 949.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 935.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.48 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 859.07$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.72 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 850.9$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.68 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kansas City Royals | 78c | 840$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 838.5$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.55 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 774.53$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.55 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 771.07$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Seattle Mariners | 4c | 701.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 654.45$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 606.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 596.18$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas City Royals | 79c | 538$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 533.52$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 530$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 513.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 512.47$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 479.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 477.3$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.34 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 456.56$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.26 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 446.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 436.52$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…0dfcbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 421.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 418.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 394.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 352.3$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 344.58$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 330.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…da5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 17c | 325.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 317.78$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.54 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 299.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 297.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 282.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 282$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 263.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 260.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 259.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 231.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 226.01$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 80c | 221.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 213.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 199.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 185.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.