Mls · resolved market
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04316a15ffb1fd7fc5757f836e2dfea40b753cd5fbc1595b413dab8528b254a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Galaxyof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Los Angeles Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 30c | 11,183$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.95 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 2,070$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.58 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 1,746$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.8 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29c | 907.68$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 780.65$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 71c | 643$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 604$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.89 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 31c | 580.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 30c | 560.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 72c | 450.81$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 31c | 383.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 328.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 73c | 328.35$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 193.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 72c | 150.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 71c | 90.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 71c | 90.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 73c | 84.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 69c | 78.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 69c | 56.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 35c | 55.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 46.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 42.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 71c | 40.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 38.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 33.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 29.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…79f4backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 28.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 28.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 24.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 24.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…8c35backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 18.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 71c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Los Angeles Galaxy | 70c | 14.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.