Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cff94dcd92ee06f0bcb887025d9284671581d4c7d43a8ab1c146c9b1b55e549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 34c | 4,012$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 941.62$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.47 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 856.7$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.1 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 717.74$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.39 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 71c | 659.45$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 379.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 52c | 340.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 77c | 304.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 291.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 55c | 251.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 66c | 213.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 77c | 182.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 67c | 149.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 62c | 148.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 45c | 136.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 106.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 101.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Over | 55c | 89.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 25c | 67.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 61.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 61c | 51.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 61c | 45.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 59c | 35.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed Over | 74c | 26.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 66c | 19.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.