Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4acdab35685e44b68a448fec3a5269db222cb7c46809c75dc0132b707986d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,967$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.62 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 1,335$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.43 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 398.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 37c | 344.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 286.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 34c | 259.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 209.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 199$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 196.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed No | 37c | 160.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 37c | 151.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 36c | 138.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 131.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 64c | 116.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 64c | 96.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 36c | 50.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed No | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7378…8a24backed No | 37c | 40.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…9c1ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Yes | 64c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 64c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Yes | 60c | 19.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 64c | 19.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…8282backed Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.