Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x509e3b5d778215bc7a655bfef4f1839727f9c3c73e4f59cbc8aa5d1125171a41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 15c | 2,838$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.75 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 70c | 2,389$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 1,172$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.18 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 928.89$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 889.77$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.88 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 14c | 878.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 29c | 841.79$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 41c | 539.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 501.46$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.61 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 30c | 434.51$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 417.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 26c | 375.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 51c | 299.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 36c | 262.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Under | 48c | 206.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 38c | 187$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 24c | 151.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 147.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 137.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 135.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 107.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 63c | 103.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 45c | 102.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 63c | 99.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 29c | 95.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 45c | 86.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 85.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 38c | 76.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 38c | 76.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 38c | 76.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…e2aabacked Over | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 56c | 71.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 58c | 70.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 31c | 65.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Over | 45c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 27c | 55.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 35c | 54.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 45c | 52.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 38c | 51.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 63c | 50.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 51c | 37.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 42c | 35.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 59c | 33.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 33.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 52c | 31.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 42c | 30.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 63c | 20.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Under | 78c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.