TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4064…f741backed Under59c15,449$9,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,259.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over40c14,862$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.8427837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under60c10,985$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,401.713553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.0426345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c2,484$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.1387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over34c1,890$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.5258043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over41c1,600$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65617258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49212263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under72c1,174$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6528851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over40c1,125$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c1,013$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.441,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over23c999.58$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.92927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over34c904$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5352639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28712661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Under59c616$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c602.71$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24615858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c572$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.151,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c449.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16414359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c331$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5924046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under60c330.47$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under58c330.46$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.794062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c284.06$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8382044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c274.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.053,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over41c260$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over41c260$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056625.8%17 W · 49 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c249.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over40c219$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.613948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8213158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over36c199.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.120849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under60c199$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.69848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.815060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.614459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.612162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under59c123.21$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.523636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over41c116$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.569457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under79c112.73$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.99052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over40c111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Over41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over40c103.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6625934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over40c98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.621,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over41c93.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9136051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over38c92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0419347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over39c91.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2716853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over32c75.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9412346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Over42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over15c68.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4623953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Under59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.613461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over44c59.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.133138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over45c55.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over35c54.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.388241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.915362.3%33 W · 20 L+12.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+83%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked Under60c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under59c44.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.284151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under54c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.248934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Over40c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under50c36.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1825652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Over48c34.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under59c33.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.948942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under60c33.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e05…00bebacked Under61c32.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under61c31.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.281752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.313557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under60c29.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9310046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under61c29.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.578257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c27.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904c…4172backed Over42c26.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under61c20.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9610957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.94250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under59c17.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9726150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.