La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5936e6919e3155baa244ed7eb9df330aa4bc0a27e9ab5ccdfbf1bf59f648e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 3,784$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.77 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 15c | 1,116$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 798.05$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 24c | 795.78$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 521.72$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 445.58$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 314$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 24c | 273.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 75c | 225.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 23c | 219.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 191.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 14c | 176.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16d…e427backed Yes | 28c | 142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 76c | 134.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 132.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 126.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 74c | 116.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 110.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 18c | 96.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 12c | 85.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…98bebacked No | 42c | 65.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 74c | 63.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 26c | 62.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 22c | 59.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 49.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked Yes | 25c | 40.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 31c | 37.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 58c | 34.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 79c | 24.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 24.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 58c | 23.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 77c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 76c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…b543backed No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…87e2backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.