La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a4439b024c014e33eace73666bed2d4eff684d7027b8b77f9889c18535b314d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 52c | 4,388$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.95 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked No | 47c | 3,617$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 51c | 1,282$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.65 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 52c | 1,025$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.46 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed No | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 932$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.74 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Yes | 51c | 913.67$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 796.58$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.68 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 50c | 427.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 53c | 362.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 305.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 44c | 296$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 197.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed No | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 104.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…0d50backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 63.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 46c | 57.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 44c | 56.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 51.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 47c | 45.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 50c | 45.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 49c | 35.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 32.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 56c | 28.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 45c | 25.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 58c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 50c | 23.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…87e2backed Yes | 54c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Yes | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.