Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae6091d47acd9149fe929b1d7cf8ea4d67329df0f3b756408f7ffabce744bee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Shopify Rebellion, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels | 69c | 10,005$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.46 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 9,474$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.85 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 8,680$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…4d41backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 8,345$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.47 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Sentinels | 65c | 8,000$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.2 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 7,583$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.15 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 7,497$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.11 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels | 73c | 7,067$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.28 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 4,069$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.59 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Sentinels | 64c | 3,644$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.67 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 3,288$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.05 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sentinels | 66c | 3,220$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.91 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 3,097$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.7 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 2,987$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.36 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Sentinels | 68c | 2,940$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Sentinels | 66c | 2,911$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.05 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 2,526$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.31 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 7c | 2,507$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 2,350$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.85 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels | 64c | 2,105$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.8 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 232 | 52.6%122 W · 110 L | +20.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 1,650$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 1,611$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,572$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 1,518$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,518$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.1 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sentinels | 66c | 1,509$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.06 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 1,400$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,390$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.69 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 1,386$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.09 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 1,256$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 1,251$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.95 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…7514backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 1,232$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 355 | 33.5%119 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sentinels | 72c | 1,200$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Sentinels | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 1,192$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 1,128$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 1,123$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.31 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Sentinels | 70c | 1,100$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 1,014$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels | 65c | 1,006$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.03 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed Sentinels | 80c | 1,002$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Sentinels | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 987$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.58 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Sentinels | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels | 76c | 791.75$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.67 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Sentinels | 66c | 781.82$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 766.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Sentinels | 65c | 712.88$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Sentinels | 68c | 650.42$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.53 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…00d0backed Sentinels | 79c | 644.19$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sentinels | 78c | 627$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Sentinels | 65c | 615.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels | 79c | 611.95$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Sentinels | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 599.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Sentinels | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Sentinels | 76c | 511$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 500.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.03 | 245 | 43.3%106 W · 139 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Sentinels | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 250 | 65.6%164 W · 86 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Sentinels | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sentinels | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Shopify Rebellion | 22c | 475.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Sentinels | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Sentinels | 71c | 424.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 419.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 408.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 1,206 | 43.5%525 W · 681 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 400$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Sentinels | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 620 | 50.6%314 W · 306 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 386.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 384.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Sentinels | 78c | 374.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 368.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…65e7backed Sentinels | 80c | 367.91$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 353.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels | 67c | 349.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels | 75c | 328.57$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Sentinels | 75c | 308.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 160 | 58.1%93 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 301.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Sentinels | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Sentinels | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Sentinels | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 225.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Sentinels | 77c | 223.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Sentinels | 72c | 223.27$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 216.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Sentinels | 65c | 205.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.