Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc31d5a0c2cd88749cf5aa220d356bae1996c7ca5eb02d752f10f1f43abbb10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Shopify Rebellion, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sentinels | 67c | 17,384$11,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.29 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 12,090$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.63 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Shopify Rebellion | 11c | 10,475$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.99 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.29 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 9,961$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.33 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Sentinels | 64c | 9,211$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.7 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 7,224$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 6,670$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.29 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 5,954$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.11 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Sentinels | 67c | 4,700$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.9 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 4,573$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.56 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 3,330$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 2,982$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.15 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 77c | 2,961$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.93 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Sentinels | 71c | 2,873$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels | 71c | 2,864$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.42 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels | 78c | 2,857$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.86 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 2,731$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.55 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 2,005$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.66 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Sentinels | 76c | 1,975$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.91 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 1,911$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…2c67backed Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 1,792$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 450 | 51.6%232 W · 218 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sentinels | 80c | 1,784$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.94 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 1,760$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.2 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 1,750$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels | 76c | 1,555$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.2 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 1,548$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.44 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sentinels | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.36 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 78c | 1,429$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.04 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,417$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.95 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Sentinels | 72c | 1,301$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Sentinels | 73c | 1,266$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.74 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 12c | 1,156$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Sentinels | 74c | 1,069$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.14 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Sentinels | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Sentinels | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels | 75c | 999.57$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Sentinels | 67c | 970.15$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.15 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 955.32$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.26 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels | 71c | 929.63$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.76 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 849.82$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 812.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 779.38$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Sentinels | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 733$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…d937backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 714.78$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Sentinels | 68c | 687.66$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.18 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels | 65c | 615$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 614.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 611.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Sentinels | 72c | 599.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 569$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Sentinels | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 554.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 543.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 540.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Sentinels | 70c | 530.47$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 519.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…c9bebacked Shopify Rebellion | 28c | 517.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Sentinels | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Sentinels | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 232 | 41.4%96 W · 136 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Sentinels | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 491.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Sentinels | 77c | 464.84$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels | 79c | 463.33$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 446.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 433.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Shopify Rebellion | 10c | 429$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Sentinels | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…2267backed Sentinels | 71c | 402.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 400.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Sentinels | 75c | 385$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 363.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels | 75c | 363$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 359.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Sentinels | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 341.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…3a99backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 336.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 400 | 33%132 W · 268 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 315.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.