TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb057…0a24backed Yes19c20,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes18c15,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c13,852$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.414,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c12,395$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.71,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes19c9,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7102924.1%7 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes15c7,112$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.2592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes14c6,925$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.091,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Yes17c6,389$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734b…cedebacked Yes18c5,421$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes20c5,000$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.55554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9508246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c4,392$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.081,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c4,219$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.483,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Yes20c4,144$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Yes19c3,849$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.232429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes20c3,000$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.7222753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes20c2,894$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.749851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes19c2,631$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8950249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes19c2,610$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.053655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fc…03b0backed Yes18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes18c2,173$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.612035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes20c1,879$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.527927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes17c1,850$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.496937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes20c1,815$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36310539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes14c1,630$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.26166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c1,386$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.2163757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes20c1,172$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked No80c988$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes16c958.41$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.077950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No80c900$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes19c888$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.727653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No80c870.2$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0412757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c818.81$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8919840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes19c785.68$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b40…b77abacked Yes21c700$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…de1dbacked Yes6c667.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes17c659.21$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.719441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Yes4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a50…650abacked Yes21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes19c583$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.231,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes18c520$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.617326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes19c519.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes20c499.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5523843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81cc…26b9backed No79c499.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Yes20c494.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.911040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes19c489.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.77936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes16c456$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0122446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes20c440$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes16c438.6$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe189…13fbbacked No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805e…e345backed Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c397.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d5…1300backed Yes21c322.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.631662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes19c301.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9845250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae92…d367backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98a…1902backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c283.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…32bcbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes18c266.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…8d65backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes18c260.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…21b3backed Yes20c254.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4aa…a19bbacked No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d13…fed2backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d15…e9debacked No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes18c234.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4634…d158backed Yes17c227.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Yes20c205.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.022360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Yes17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes19c190$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.517159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes19c178.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.873135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206717.9%12 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes17c156.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c151.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997c…8f9fbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2732444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes18c132$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7624048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Yes20c131.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.361323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes15c129.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5ac…f515backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes12c124.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.927936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes18c124$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.323333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.