TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes31c10,431$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.53839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c6,434$5,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.594,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes24c5,299$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.685554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No73c4,885$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.6583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes23c4,200$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c3,442$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes9c2,670$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8821950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed No76c2,157$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed No76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No70c1,617$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.022556%14 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes5c1,605$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c1,516$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6850449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.9823255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes23c1,381$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No76c1,120$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No74c1,101$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.183476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes25c1,040$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c1,020$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No77c1,006$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.324959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c996.63$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2758548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes23c953.76$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed No57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c834.06$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.831,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810a…2b8ebacked Yes10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes19c782.95$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.587936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes25c779.26$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No75c777$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2525648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No69c725.98$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.052365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes48c725.89$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-61.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes11c700$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7711819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No74c699.67$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.967950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c632.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-72.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Yes45c577.78$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f90…c86cbacked No77c540.85$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes25c512$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…fdc6backed Yes23c495.35$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes25c482.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0620843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No77c472.93$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7724145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No76c463.58$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2622448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d2…7c0dbacked No78c444.87$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No69c433$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Yes23c426.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes22c412.87$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.839147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No76c400.08$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0219358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No69c395$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No64c380.34$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4812050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c359.99$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No77c316.36$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3168450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes16c304.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.220630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7217159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5470%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5450%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9311258%65 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Yes51c289.26$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.241533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes48c289.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No78c274.41$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes43c273.81$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.862630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Yes18c239.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0890%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c234.5$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3275451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83e1…ee29backed No78c230.77$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.775100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…7acbbacked Yes14c223.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes33c212.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1653…24b0backed Yes47c209.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.52263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c207.65$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.762,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes30c205$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.510927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c204.58$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0123762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b60…951ebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes14c198.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1641323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…3134backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No44c186.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes11c174.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No77c162.05$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2728045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aecbacked Yes14c158.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.412737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe498…72c3backed Yes15c158.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes14c157.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.112356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…de1dbacked Yes13c157.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c155.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6263553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No78c134.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.992080%16 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+66%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No76c133.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.326853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Yes24c131.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.641323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes12c130.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.719164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.