Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aceee7d704690e8d154c164d58b900605a1dfd9d11b3d3a6504cfc95336d699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Metzof AS Monaco FC, FC Metz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed FC Metz | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 17,832$9,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,094.15 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed FC Metz | 49c | 10,848$5,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,532.72 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked AS Monaco FC | 51c | 5,989$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 3,725$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Metz | 49c | 3,625$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.02 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…6482backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 2,503$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed AS Monaco FC | 53c | 2,178$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Metz | 57c | 2,039$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.78 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 1,261$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 1,082$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed FC Metz | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Metz | 51c | 748$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed FC Metz | 49c | 709.94$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.66 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed AS Monaco FC | 48c | 671.28$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed AS Monaco FC | 24c | 541.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 429.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Metz | 47c | 340$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC Metz | 49c | 340$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Metz | 66c | 314.59$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked AS Monaco FC | 44c | 307.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 301.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed FC Metz | 57c | 258.42$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked AS Monaco FC | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked AS Monaco FC | 24c | 226$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked AS Monaco FC | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked FC Metz | 49c | 196.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked FC Metz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed FC Metz | 53c | 189.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed FC Metz | 57c | 174.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Metz | 57c | 168.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked AS Monaco FC | 51c | 158.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FC Metz | 50c | 137.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FC Metz | 49c | 130.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed FC Metz | 49c | 120.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed FC Metz | 54c | 97.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked FC Metz | 50c | 97.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AS Monaco FC | 49c | 96.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed AS Monaco FC | 47c | 94.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked AS Monaco FC | 41c | 90.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…b131backed AS Monaco FC | 52c | 76.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed FC Metz | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed AS Monaco FC | 15c | 68.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed AS Monaco FC | 47c | 64.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked AS Monaco FC | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FC Metz | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked FC Metz | 53c | 52.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FC Metz | 49c | 50.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AS Monaco FC | 44c | 50.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked AS Monaco FC | 51c | 49.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed AS Monaco FC | 26c | 48.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked AS Monaco FC | 50c | 45.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…c592backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 42.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed FC Metz | 49c | 40.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked AS Monaco FC | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 37.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked AS Monaco FC | 50c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AS Monaco FC | 43c | 29.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked AS Monaco FC | 46c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 22.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…7339backed FC Metz | 49c | 22.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed FC Metz | 63c | 21.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 68cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad0…5ea2backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed FC Metz | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed FC Metz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed AS Monaco FC | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed FC Metz | 56c | 19.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)FC Metz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.