TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7163…c592

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT6243.5%27 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.31
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.31
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.02
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.01
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.01
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.62
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.62
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.