MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b59591ce677f0cc1b9ea4ac024f5ce4dd5186b15fc3c84a148ca8f441ab93f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Boston Red Sox, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Boston Red Sox | 0c | 83,270$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Boston Red Sox | 0c | 74,050$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 66,666$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,666.34 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 60,083$29,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,440.58 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 23,524$11,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,527 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 14,628$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 14,409$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 14,281$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.2 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 12,413$7,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.44 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Boston Red Sox | 8c | 11,907$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.94 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 11,229$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.79 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…707dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 8,857$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 8,252$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 7,504$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.59 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 7,060$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.72 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 6,390$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.86 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 6,061$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 5,729$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 4,720$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.94 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 3,839$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 3,831$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 3,508$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.08 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 3,167$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.12 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 3,050$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.97 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 2,766$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.23 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,376$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.33 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 2,177$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 1,975$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,927$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Boston Red Sox | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a45cbacked Boston Red Sox | 6c | 1,784$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,679$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.57 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 1,627$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.92 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 1,542$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 1,480$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.83 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,436$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,374$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,366$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,296$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.04 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 1,288$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 1,126$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.81 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 1,041$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 960.95$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.86 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 850$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 807.93$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 767.39$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.73 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 729.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 688$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 654$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 641.09$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 586.96$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.7 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 583.79$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 511.68$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 480$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 450.3$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 442.36$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 424.72$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 409.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 391.62$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 374.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…a634backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 358.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 343.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 306.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Boston Red Sox | 13c | 291.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…a1e0backed Boston Red Sox | 11c | 275.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 275$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 267.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 261.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.