MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccfe1e36e5bdca4dd38906eb7c7e8be999e6908b4eee8b275f48ecfd3228de08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Houston Astros | 54c | 28,486$15,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,382.2 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 21,112$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400.21 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 56c | 10,108$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.74 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 9,414$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.26 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 9,000$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 8,880$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.94 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 55c | 8,845$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 8,753$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.65 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 35c | 7,668$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 1c | 7,490$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 6,432$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.01 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 6,045$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Houston Astros | 58c | 5,889$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.67 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 4,242$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.82 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,626$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Houston Astros | 56c | 3,076$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.34 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,687$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.92 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,593$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.77 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros | 56c | 2,322$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.45 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,312$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 2,083$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.62 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Astros | 32c | 1,777$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.77 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,728$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.51 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,647$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.14 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,513$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Houston Astros | 40c | 1,408$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.11 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,176$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 975.91$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.09 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 40c | 964$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 853.27$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.43 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 4c | 851.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Houston Astros | 2c | 815.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 774.08$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 769.46$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.26 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 755.79$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 23c | 754.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 708.45$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Houston Astros | 55c | 694.56$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.3 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 694.04$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.61 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Houston Astros | 7c | 688.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 678.6$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.02 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 618.18$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 617.26$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.67 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 38c | 594.45$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 591.41$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.98 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 553.86$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.86 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Houston Astros | 29c | 517.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 515$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.95 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…7cbebacked Houston Astros | 10c | 513.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 481.59$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Houston Astros | 56c | 463.43$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.52 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 456.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Houston Astros | 44c | 450.34$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 439.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.46 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 424.29$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 423.77$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.53 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 419.84$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 417.86$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Houston Astros | 28c | 412.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…1cc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 388.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 386.01$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 383.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 381.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 366.57$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 361.92$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 352.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.35 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 46c | 334.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 323.88$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Houston Astros | 55c | 317.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Houston Astros | 36c | 311.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 309.6$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Houston Astros | 56c | 309.6$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 309.6$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Houston Astros | 42c | 290.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 290.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Astros | 24c | 278$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 273.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Houston Astros | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 41c | 255.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Houston Astros | 56c | 253.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 34c | 250.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 248.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Houston Astros | 56c | 248.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Houston Astros | 29c | 245.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -25.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Houston Astros | 56c | 243.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…4bdabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 238.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 227.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 41c | 222.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 217.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Houston Astros | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Astros | 45c | 199.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 196.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -13.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 195.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 195.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 195.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.