TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b47…d814backed No42c3,531$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.786443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes58c2,503$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.4423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No22c2,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.971921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No1c2,109$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.984030%12 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa395…3eddbacked No11c1,455$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No40c1,037$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.83745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.073850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No27c808.76$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7424349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No15c713.19$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.495846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes44c680.59$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.132352.2%12 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick24cpaid+330.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes69c656.42$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.731,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes49c496.54$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2326046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No23c427.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.222524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No50c400.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.922944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No42c384.91$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6126354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No52c380.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.921752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No53c378.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.922254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No56c357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.922552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes56c353.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5716644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes73c348.41$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.378644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes59c304$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.643655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes72c303.51$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0410364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c281.42$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes80c262.87$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.171,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes51c215.75$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7412238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No46c211.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.956530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No50c199.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.962045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No29c195$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.551822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c183.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes69c160.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2433145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes54c159.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.161811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-65.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes53c152.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.485238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked No45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes57c132.91$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No43c128$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.045261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes57c116.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.258250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes68c114.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.342634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes78c105$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4515951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes79c101.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3324052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435046%23 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed No11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes79c92.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.66850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c92.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5810640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No27c86.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3317817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes57c86.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed No29c86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes56c84.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x211b…1c13backed No43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443850%19 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes51c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.884266.7%28 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+70.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No56c59.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.067149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No31c58.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9922854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x753d…4478backed No43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No44c56.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.699058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No48c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.921855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked No47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c50.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes56c48.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9926041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes58c48.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee92…7ec3backed Yes66c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4d…2651backed No42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…c592backed No42c46.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes56c44.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes59c42.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.345651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No27c41.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.385955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.13050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No45c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.14447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No27c36.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10205%1 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-84.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes68c35.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.327861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed No42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes72c35.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.973764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6059…2800backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes58c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.149346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Yes58c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes43c24.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.813040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes73c20.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.522777.8%21 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x263f…760dbacked No50c20.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes58c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9826346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.246759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes70c14.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.