Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x669e196a3852ff51d7d3c5b412a52eac09736b413896aa365053fabc72dc0537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 11c | 2,274$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 74c | 1,418$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 756.87$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.79 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 673.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 21c | 600.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 481.44$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 430.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 71c | 323.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 79c | 214.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 11c | 180.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 156.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 11c | 126.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 100.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 99.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed No | 75c | 92.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 72.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 54.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 20c | 49.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 76c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 75c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 80c | 24.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.