MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9f634ec09ffaa3d77e5edaa4e854caf807d8e27c8a6c3388e4ef774cfd6fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Detroit Tigers, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 24,861$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.95 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 13,588$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930.08 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 12,633$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 3c | 7,552$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 12c | 6,059$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 4,148$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.27 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,461$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Detroit Tigers | 1c | 2,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Detroit Tigers | 19c | 1,873$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.66 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,838$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.17 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 1,409$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 1,408$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.43 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Detroit Tigers | 3c | 1,392$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Detroit Tigers | 10c | 1,338$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 1,026$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Detroit Tigers | 7c | 958.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 891.05$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.44 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Detroit Tigers | 18c | 830.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Detroit Tigers | 15c | 741.86$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 719.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.19 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Detroit Tigers | 30c | 556.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 547.28$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Detroit Tigers | 8c | 448.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Detroit Tigers | 7c | 370.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 345.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 334.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…746bbacked Detroit Tigers | 15c | 247.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 238.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 232.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Detroit Tigers | 9c | 228.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f3a2backed Detroit Tigers | 5c | 219.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 207.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Detroit Tigers | 16c | 192.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 192.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 191.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 180.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Detroit Tigers | 15c | 178.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Detroit Tigers | 11c | 157.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 153.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Detroit Tigers | 9c | 153.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 151.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 510 | 49.2%251 W · 259 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 148.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Detroit Tigers | 16c | 146.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 136.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 135.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 131.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 129.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Detroit Tigers | 15c | 122.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 120.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 119.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers | 18c | 104.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 101.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…920ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…41dabacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 95.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 93.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 90.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 89.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…ac30backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 88.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 87.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 86.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 82.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 69.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 67.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Detroit Tigers | 21c | 67.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 66.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -10.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 64.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 57.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 880 | 45.1%397 W · 483 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 56.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 55.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 55.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 45.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 44.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…22d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 42.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 38.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-5.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-6.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.