MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8832afe7aa008458f85086bbfc13e73a32afedc848a34d587f2ef04f5f4226c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Tampa Bay Rays, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 91,348$42,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,923.07 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 55,555$29,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,110.84 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 41,000$21,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,270 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 22,942$12,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,782.55 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 19,338$10,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,989.8 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 12,227$5,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 8,617$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.67 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 7,002$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.56 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 6,552$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 5,545$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.55 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 5,322$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 5,251$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.44 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,841$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.27 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.97 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 4,204$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.98 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 3,422$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.52 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 3,143$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.89 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 2,770$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.97 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 2,505$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 2,494$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.81 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,420$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.35 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.99 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 2,395$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.75 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 2,380$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…367dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 2,228$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 2,095$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.62 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,091$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,059$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.16 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 1,966$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.04 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,931$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,860$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.79 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 1,835$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,825$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.55 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,809$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.42 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,540$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.21 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 1,503$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.35 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,442$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.58 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 1,383$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.9 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 1,376$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.27 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,335$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.42 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 1,293$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 1,240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,210$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.47 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,123$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,097$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 1,059$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,043$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.46 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…bae7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,016$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.88 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 998.24$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.44 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 973.81$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.17 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…a31dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 944.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 936.29$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.87 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 927$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.69 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 904.73$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.22 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 868.65$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 867.69$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.14 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 832.16$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…355ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 810.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 802.55$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.37 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 748.32$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 733.54$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.09 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 728.91$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 671.93$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.81 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 641.78$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 618$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 611.9$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.59 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 611.14$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.01 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 610.82$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 589.74$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 587.25$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 573.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 567.04$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 549$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 541.52$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 529.96$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 489.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 484.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 469.88$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 467.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 459$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 428.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 424.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 410.37$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 382.59$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 382.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 381.77$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…2656backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.