MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d935ffe8631790a90cea77c2678412bce5ff7b5ac7ca15fd32407d05da97d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 57,883$26,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,256.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 44,977$24,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,287.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 32,626$15,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,618.09 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 28,051$14,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,867.17 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 17,484$9,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,266.66 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 17,306$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,238.71 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 14,811$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,449.97 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 12,580$6,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,793.19 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,480 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 11,363$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.29 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 9,141$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.9 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 8,858$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 7,800$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.95 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 7,201$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.8 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 6,824$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.19 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 6,390$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.31 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 6,018$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.48 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 5,347$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.24 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 5,205$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.29 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 5,037$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.19 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 5,022$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.8 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,731$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.84 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 3,187$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.67 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 3,137$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 68c | 2,981$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.09 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,819$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,747$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.15 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,716$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.59 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…77e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,701$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,382$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.56 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.67 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,026$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.96 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,929$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.17 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,741$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.39 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,698$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.52 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,676$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.89 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,675$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.74 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,653$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.59 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 1,590$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,583$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.34 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,545$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.38 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,531$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,395$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.85 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d2…efb2backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,282$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 1,230$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,213$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.37 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,189$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.59 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.94 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,100$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.86 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,084$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 1,071$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,059$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.24 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,038$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…28c7backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 956.91$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 930.91$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.55 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 914.06$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.59 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…3d1fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 888.91$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 849.48$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.21 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 834.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 831.83$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 804.19$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.21 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 785.78$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 749.83$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.22 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 708$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.32 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 678.24$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 672.57$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 667.24$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.4 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 661.26$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 651.65$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 599.97$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 589.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.38 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 589.11$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.01 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 585.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 565.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 565.69$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.18 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 557.12$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 543.46$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.51 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 533.38$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.47 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…3fa4backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 513.4$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…2129backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 505.96$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…81f0backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 504.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 502.55$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.38 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…427abacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 495.35$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 484.4$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…d880backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 481.83$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d4…dac0backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 477.34$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 464.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…74adbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 462.77$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 458.04$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 456.06$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.