Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf90344a7adc8bae190d026683b75e51939c59b5ce3e102a52d8160ce7a493aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 15,880$11,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…eecbbacked No | 18c | 13,035$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 47c | 6,114$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.81 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…20b5backed No | 30c | 2,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 32c | 2,234$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 2,080$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 29c | 1,737$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.49 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 1,525$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.28 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.98 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 75c | 1,155$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 76c | 1,000$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 68c | 964.1$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 71c | 639.89$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 80c | 177.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 52c | 164.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 136.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 24c | 118.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 116.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 72c | 115.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 107.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked No | 32c | 98.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 98.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 89.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 36c | 83.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 76c | 71.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 76c | 70.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 41c | 65.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 72c | 61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 51c | 60.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 24c | 58.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 47c | 53.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 27c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 50.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 57c | 41.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed Yes | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 32.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 49c | 30.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 27.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…c4c3backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked No | 77c | 17.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…7a07backed Yes | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes | 71c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 14.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 79c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.