TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c12,388$8,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,796.774,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over29c11,139$3,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,908.065538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Under71c6,268$4,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,477.483441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over28c5,651$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.0317731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under73c4,462$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under51c4,293$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.564141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under1c3,784$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.843641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c2,411$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.6757139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over34c2,403$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.1160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under59c2,217$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.7222859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under62c2,191$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.6614250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Over27c2,080$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over37c1,800$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1309147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c1,575$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.323,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9949057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over44c1,338$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.58041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8506437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over27c999.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9910820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under65c843.58$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.111,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c651.34$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under49c543.54$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c533.03$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4717128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Under72c508.1$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.782458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under78c501.11$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30020142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Under57c499.98$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under64c399.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under67c387.17$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over36c350$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c288.59$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c271.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0644039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c269.64$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0868450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Over28c232.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+296.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127636.8%28 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over35c199.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda86…6ff9backed Under67c191.06$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over33c190.25$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7620441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…4c59backed Over34c144.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.12520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under65c143.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.892454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Under73c137.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Under63c135.65$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.753053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under30c134.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5822557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under48c131.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2517960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under20c124.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Under52c111.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.142638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1e1…f5a9backed Under74c108.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-68.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Under57c101.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.726225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7120252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.522246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7117044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over35c92.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4337348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under70c91.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.823935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over42c87.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6415344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Over79c86.16$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over30c82.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0515451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c79.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over39c79.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1324757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Under65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over39c74.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8159655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.624362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.411449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over80c57.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over39c56.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.663751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over28c54.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.275119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over33c54.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.171450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over30c48.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.115448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over40c47.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.55543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9d…c024backed Over36c42.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.231566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under69c42.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.325375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8e9…9886backed Over36c41.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.111040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Under75c40.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under49c38.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1119953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c35.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Over36c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under63c32.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under65c32.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.997960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over75c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.124376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under47c27.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over64c27.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under58c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40aa…087ebacked Under73c26.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.76456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c24.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0218842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Under67c22.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under49c21.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3714140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Under69c18.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.912075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Over71c18.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under65c17.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.633161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Under70c15.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.