La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfb07ff0135bcea84cbee6ea856256f664b65f51a177b5f7f3dd8787095a74f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedad de Fútbolof Real Betis Balompié, Real Sociedad de Fútbol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 5c | 2,617$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Real Betis Balompié | 7c | 1,935$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Real Betis Balompié | 24c | 720.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Real Betis Balompié | 16c | 451.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Real Betis Balompié | 30c | 133.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 79c | 58.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 71c | 36.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 75c | 31.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.