TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c27,373$12,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,107.914,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Over55c20,027$10,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,112.0115034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under22c14,711$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c11,900$8,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.223,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over58c10,908$6,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.897656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over57c9,715$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,164.8217731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c7,015$3,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237.2784144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cc…791fbacked Under43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over59c4,327$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.752962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00020253.5%108 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under19c3,655$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.4412020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c3,272$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.998351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Under41c3,200$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+61.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over59c2,700$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.9718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0759052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c2,340$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.1669350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under46c2,225$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.7157839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over53c2,021$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.926468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under1c1,927$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.164247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over45c1,744$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.123847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over59c1,720$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.29751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over56c1,621$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.343775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under42c1,600$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67211154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under41c1,588$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.9513645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under2c1,500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Under36c1,500$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50411566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under41c1,067$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over57c1,027$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.562258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under25c995.9$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over56c983.57$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.774376.7%33 W · 10 L+9.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+46.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over58c950$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39922246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.096848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under5c902.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7416348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c808.25$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7361032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c799.97$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9965356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under24c739.92$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29410760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under41c664.92$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…fc98backed Under41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Over42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3487636.8%28 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…be5dbacked Over76c545.55$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+149.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under46c439$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.722446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under44c416.47$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked Under27c415.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.03742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1687358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under3c385.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0314441%59 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Under59c339.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over59c330.51$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.511850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Over62c323.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under19c310.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c307.14$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.148041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Over72c306.9$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.92378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12612358.5%72 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e07…0e51backed Over73c263.49$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under42c259.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.89058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.89556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under7c233.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.314845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over59c222$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0222448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under42c221.57$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.067560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c220$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over54c212.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9622357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under6c212$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.729237%34 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over77c206.96$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.851844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over52c202.35$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.512044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over59c200.93$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410859.3%64 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.13060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c199.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9942558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under41c194.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9216660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over38c194.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4410127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under42c191.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4332645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under42c190$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.83339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…e965backed Over76c184.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under6c183.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.991315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+861.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under41c178.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2733161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…fa07backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4422450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under49c173.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under8c169.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495275%39 W · 13 L+11.3wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4913668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.29753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Over55c154.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.83342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c148.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3810554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.