TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No47c7,950$3,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,765.54,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No2c3,437$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0522859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes47c2,512$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.710736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.38341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes65c1,390$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.5260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes63c1,238$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.116160.9%98 W · 63 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes59c1,196$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.655955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c1,180$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.771,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes63c1,111$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.114454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c1,085$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.633,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No37c1,061$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4622246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No37c999.97$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes48c838.08$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.766437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No37c816.71$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1849252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No37c503.11$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6275751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked No26c487.79$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No51c441.54$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.681,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes42c424.62$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.722330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No36c318.14$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7235442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes62c308.06$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bb…9302backed Yes52c285.34$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.381560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes68c273.64$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.644353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked No38c270.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.971030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No37c264$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked No12c220$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.88510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Yes63c203.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes63c192.06$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.062955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d95…9a88backed Yes64c169.78$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c167.76$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4784939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes65c137.44$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.442147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3a…2b88backed No41c136.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No37c134.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6670050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No24c124.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5646040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed No13c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No36c115.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4720253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Yes64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4442558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes40c97.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7420541.5%85 W · 120 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes72c96.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.856764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c96.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.992,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Yes60c96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No37c95.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.511,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Yes63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.243461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd3…7c5dbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No45c82.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0216348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes60c81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes62c80.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.836962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No25c80.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4821439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes59c75.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.852755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No35c73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.559060%54 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.223828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Yes62c64.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No37c63.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.665356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee8…07c4backed Yes64c59.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Yes63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.564763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No37c54.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.322658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Yes58c53.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.451275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes63c52.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3810154.5%55 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2113070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked No36c49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.644736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.882552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked No54c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.543751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.373240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No37c42.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6269350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed Yes64c40.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5512255.7%68 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3329…6c52backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263171%22 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No43c39.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.044944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f83…465dbacked Yes64c36.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.172040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes64c36.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1359855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.486350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked No36c34.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed No37c32.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+77.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7526645.5%121 W · 145 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7519042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7517466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.256968.1%47 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513157.3%75 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d0…8dadbacked Yes60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…cdc3backed Yes69c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.382948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes64c29.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.694367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed No41c28.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.734845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Yes63c27.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes42c24.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59161.5%56 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes63c24.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1716250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Yes62c23.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e70…205ebacked Yes63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4410440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0126154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No51c21.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.119953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.