TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over47c101,252$47,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,575.8810450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Under52c77,928$40,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,427.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912a…2e6abacked Over45c33,511$15,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,079.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c29,468$17,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,403.634,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over48c27,508$13,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,203.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under54c26,338$14,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,115.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under53c12,144$6,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,707.6815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over46c8,400$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c8,274$4,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,87940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9970…ce06backed Under54c6,600$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over46c6,503$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.9735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c5,474$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.72,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c4,500$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42010820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over16c4,083$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.1860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Over48c3,802$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under54c3,611$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over46c3,250$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4956944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over16c3,178$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over30c2,605$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.363847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over47c2,400$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1283351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under57c2,317$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.371478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,100$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over36c2,088$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.683438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over48c1,873$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.933775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over45c1,791$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.2750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under53c1,235$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea5…9d40backed Over48c1,201$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5647358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x598e…0d75backed Over48c1,198$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over4c1,154$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over46c1,153$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.426160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5177851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over46c1,088$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4727758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c1,023$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.122246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c974.06$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.51,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under68c958.79$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Over46c838.88$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.852568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over46c832.09$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.764548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3689751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over46c657.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over47c628.81$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9745450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Over46c568.62$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over46c543$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over46c543$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.781,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under55c533.98$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.294250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under53c503.81$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.797560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14522939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over47c398.9$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4819358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under58c378.66$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8522557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over48c368$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.645757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under53c337$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3922446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over32c249.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.632441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under53c243.28$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3416660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.434252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.88758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under53c225$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.753339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over48c220.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under54c209.88$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7619865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over48c199.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5228138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c186.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under53c180.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1113163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.68457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c168.61$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c168$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c154.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under54c124.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.346657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.19060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over14c106.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over46c106.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over47c101.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.558852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3220252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3217044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under53c99.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8612066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over47c95.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.972638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over48c94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0317859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over44c90.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.937348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over48c85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.87661.8%47 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over46c77.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.723040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4412…f131backed Under54c74.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under53c69.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.689758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over46c68.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.415655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.