La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae45c398ebb4988d5061579e1754480c87a92ed1261d4f32d6027dbccad00a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 5,412$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 24c | 1,944$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.64 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 40c | 1,437$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.8 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,170$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 806.43$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.02 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 710$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 617.26$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 50c | 502.65$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 48c | 502.38$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 53c | 490.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 52c | 269.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 40c | 225.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked No | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 39c | 182.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 24c | 136.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 40c | 126.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Yes | 42c | 117.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 51c | 107.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 44c | 105.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 47c | 101.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 96.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 55c | 89.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 51c | 87.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…3738backed Yes | 43c | 81.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 79.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 73.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 62c | 67.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 52c | 65.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 25c | 57.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 43c | 53.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 50c | 53.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 50.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…fb3bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Yes | 48c | 41.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 41.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 79c | 31.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 53c | 27.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 47c | 23.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.