TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c8,107$4,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.514,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c4,849$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.588351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c4,559$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.543,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c2,453$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.0922939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8212020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.946858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under56c1,467$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.682853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c1,310$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.4656439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under28c1,299$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.222246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c885.88$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under41c734.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.1860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over59c695.47$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c619.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5760732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over44c570.2$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.723354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b17…c56abacked Over26c540$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over39c487.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over44c487.11$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under28c460$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over72c347$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.841,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over72c346.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8389050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c311.3$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6568050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over24c258.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.69946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over41c246.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed Over74c233$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.421060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under28c232.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4932545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over23c219.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.093259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b33…d412backed Over76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over65c190.32$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.711662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over26c184.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.516348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under24c174.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under29c157.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.520050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa110…3053backed Under32c152.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under28c149.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4945250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over39c143.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over49c128.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under28c126.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2869350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over63c121.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9517466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over72c116$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over17c111.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over72c105.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c101$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.721,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506450%32 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over71c99.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9917759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over53c91.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6515344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7183640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over45c88.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402020%4 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over29c87.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c79.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over39c78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.554551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over51c74.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over43c71.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c69.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2982844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under19c62.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2921139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over21c57.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over21c56.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8814140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2421457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over73c51.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.368846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Over35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94ab…83f5backed Over73c48.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354877.1%37 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over43c47.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.24259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under26c42.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3111236.6%41 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c39.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8563757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over63c36.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.728138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over73c32.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over54c31.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.165349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…c3aabacked Over65c30.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4b…a9aabacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over73c30.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222572%18 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e70…205ebacked Over73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2233…604bbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c24.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2922357%127 W · 96 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under61c23.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3211366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over75c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3159555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over74c15.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3923455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.