La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24bfeb8b7d2e9dc96ded8f8dc6375112cd5e8b012ba9fa1b695bbdad73cbda0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valencia CFof Athletic Club, Valencia CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Valencia CF | 69c | 5,747$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia CF | 77c | 3,548$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.19 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Athletic Club | 30c | 3,384$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.7 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Valencia CF | 72c | 2,998$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.18 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletic Club | 31c | 2,128$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.54 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletic Club | 31c | 1,306$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.9 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Valencia CF | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Valencia CF | 69c | 612.25$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia CF | 77c | 607$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletic Club | 31c | 482.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Athletic Club | 31c | 470.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletic Club | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Valencia CF | 77c | 222$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletic Club | 31c | 209.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Athletic Club | 20c | 130.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletic Club | 30c | 108.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 112 | 36.6%41 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Valencia CF | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Valencia CF | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Athletic Club | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Valencia CF | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed Athletic Club | 32c | 74.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed Valencia CF | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Valencia CF | 77c | 70.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Athletic Club | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Athletic Club | 30c | 57.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Valencia CF | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Valencia CF | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Athletic Club | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Valencia CF | 69c | 35.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Valencia CF | 80c | 33.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Valencia CF | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Valencia CF | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Valencia CF | 77c | 15.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Valencia CF | 78c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked Valencia CF | 70c | 14.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Valencia CF | 78c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)this page
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Athletic Club won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.