La Liga · resolved market
CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6413adde1482b99f5368dc2f90aec16441239f3616a7bce9dae4ea514864d8f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 3,081$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.74 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 2,165$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.32 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,887$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.55 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 4c | 1,655$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 1,497$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.63 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 1,434$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 1,298$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.48 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 1,156$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.68 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 48c | 1,052$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 932.65$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 598.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 412.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 54c | 370.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 15c | 258$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 163.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 49c | 140.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 51c | 127.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…f2cdbacked Over | 49c | 107.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 60c | 100.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd867…2d76backed Over | 49c | 100.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 99.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 84.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 71.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 64.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 41.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 36.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…4e5fbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 51c | 25.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 51c | 23.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 49c | 21.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…9cc4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 0.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.