La Liga · resolved market
Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7690c8c28d8a7bcd3de4e0bd9d974fa9b8cbe9314cb2fa024a657b076d34fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SD Huescaof CD Leganés, SD Huesca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SD Huesca | 78c | 960.79$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed CD Leganés | 27c | 773.84$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.73 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked CD Leganés | 20c | 599$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SD Huesca | 72c | 303.54$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed CD Leganés | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CD Leganés | 24c | 255.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SD Huesca | 73c | 201.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed CD Leganés | 28c | 126.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Leganés | 15c | 105.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed SD Huesca | 75c | 72.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SD Huesca | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed SD Huesca | 75c | 40.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SD Huesca | 73c | 35.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed SD Huesca | 75c | 33.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed SD Huesca | 75c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)this page
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 0.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.