La Liga · resolved market
CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05d8bf6cde8d704eb1d8997ba2d876c75becd8f5bf8b847417c5c398d096cfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 21,319$5,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,404.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 68c | 2,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 1,641$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.06 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 1,625$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.28 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 63c | 1,592$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Over | 68c | 1,465$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 36c | 1,188$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 1,185$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.94 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 67c | 639.45$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.83 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 6c | 615.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.97 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 75c | 407.78$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over | 62c | 314.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 278.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 49c | 274.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ee…1183backed Over | 68c | 269.12$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 29c | 240.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Over | 76c | 239.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 6c | 196.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 80c | 187.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 182.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…753dbacked Under | 70c | 180.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 16c | 179$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 60c | 166.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 51c | 158$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 57c | 133.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Under | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3339backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…ba4bbacked Over | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 37c | 80.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 72c | 77.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…26aebacked Over | 60c | 74.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 21c | 71.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 75c | 71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 39c | 66.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 71c | 40.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 39c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 68c | 34.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 40c | 31.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +895.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…cc2abacked Over | 49c | 20.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 0.5this page
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.