La Liga · resolved market
CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9a2e17e1859632bb497da0191d48c14df243c99133f42565a6c8e4ec15670a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 5,816$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 74c | 3,059$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.41 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 22c | 2,768$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.37 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 41c | 1,948$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.28 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 1,637$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.98 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 15c | 1,382$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 1,194$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.7 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 902.72$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 71c | 870.03$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.61 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 756.74$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…212dbacked Over | 21c | 619.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 29c | 589.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 26c | 538.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 422.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 365.46$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 8c | 293$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 284.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 73c | 217.81$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 190.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 37c | 175.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 75c | 160.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 45c | 135.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 25c | 133.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 40c | 125.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 71c | 124.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 115$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 22c | 114.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 44c | 113.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 41c | 94.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 26c | 92.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa73d…2e36backed Under | 25c | 78.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 17c | 77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 26c | 73.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 62c | 71.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Over | 59c | 60.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 29c | 51.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…a8fbbacked Over | 60c | 42.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…07dabacked Under | 61c | 31.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 74c | 30.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 61c | 30.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…9595backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 26.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 59c | 26.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 62c | 23.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Under | 79c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Over | 75c | 13.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 0.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.