Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ddb3bdde14334c5bcd76fe2278fbf61cfc61a9ebf876cc032e69cc36c852b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 3,126$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 9c | 1,600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 62c | 1,339$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 1,030$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 37c | 999.31$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.74 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 37c | 627.85$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 615.84$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Under | 63c | 570$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 62c | 456$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 38c | 422.45$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 63c | 327.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 24c | 299.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 243.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 62c | 160.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 38c | 152.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 62c | 148.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 145.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 139.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 65c | 128.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 40c | 124.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 61c | 104.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 39c | 104.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 99.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 63c | 85.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 79c | 85.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 19c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 36c | 58.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 46.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…8d23backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 37c | 29.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.