Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080ee4c453c1e70f14d520fe45895474847685a24165e674a5527ea1e539e8b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 60c | 8,111$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,866.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 5,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 5,444$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.34 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 5,193$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 26c | 2,100$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 47c | 2,088$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 913.67$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.88 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 687.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 40c | 510.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 40c | 502$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 40c | 459.95$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 66c | 453.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.61 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 55c | 452.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.06 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 40c | 347.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 41c | 308.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 40c | 290.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.26 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 217.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.4wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 41c | 172.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…c70fbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 62c | 160.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 23c | 158.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 60c | 147$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 131.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Under | 76c | 131.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…09d0backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…df78backed Under | 41c | 117.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 61c | 106.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 60c | 104.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 103.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +275.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 96.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 23c | 93.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 73c | 75.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 70.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 64.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 64.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 60c | 62.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 59.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 63c | 51.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 51c | 41.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 41c | 35.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…98c0backed Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 60c | 27.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 74c | 25.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…4799backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…654bbacked Over | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Under | 59c | 21.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 76c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.