La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0660033259cdd5885d408e2160e557fd4fb4734bd844a89a20aa13e38ac9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 29c | 12,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.99 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 32c | 9,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 70c | 8,166$5,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.17 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 71c | 6,232$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.63 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 8c | 5,553$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.01 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 71c | 2,383$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.93 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 2,195$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.04 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 1,684$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.61 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 32c | 1,208$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 68c | 960.05$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.22 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 29c | 813$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.77 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 68c | 634.74$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 32c | 596.2$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.41 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 481.47$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Over | 29c | 308.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…e5cdbacked Over | 38c | 198$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 75c | 184.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 159$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 29c | 108.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Over | 28c | 70.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 32c | 62.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 63c | 60.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 29c | 60.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 66c | 60.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 53.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 68c | 48.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 29c | 48.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 38c | 44.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 35c | 42.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 63c | 31.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 63c | 31.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…3a29backed Under | 71c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f8…898ebacked Under | 63c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 73c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 70c | 15.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)Real Oviedo won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.