Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad68be4f3cd31669af0ffabe360f76b42ab0b99914a4a724b93ac47a5cf3d803

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,402 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x966c…9b1abacked Over	78c	12,821$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,820.51	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under	54c	11,032$5,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,981.64	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	22c	9,485$2,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,086.77	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	45c	4,988$2,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,743.56	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	39c	2,846$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under	63c	2,369$1,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.13	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	37c	1,465$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.32	162	38.3%62 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	50c	1,078$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.66	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	47c	1,072$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.86	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	41c	999.98$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.99	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	20c	863.36$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.67	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	55c	802.5$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.17	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	37c	781$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.03	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over	47c	723.91$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.67	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed Over	80c	620$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	49c	598.69$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.63	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	22c	460$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Over	30c	400$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	22c	399.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over	49c	379.88$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.74	112	29.5%33 W · 79 L	-9.8wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under	79c	379.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	72cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1334…4ce4backed Under	54c	372.22$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over	47c	346.81$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.81	236	32.2%76 W · 160 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684c…93dfbacked Over	46c	326.09$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.09	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over	33c	269.9$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.9	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	69c	268.34$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.32	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Over	78c	256.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over	43c	245.88$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.02	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	43c	233.26$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.26	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over	49c	214.29$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.29	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over	49c	199.99$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	34c	180$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.8	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	173.42$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.11	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7639…6563backed Over	78c	166.88$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under	54c	158.98$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.85	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	21c	157.59$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.59	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over	80c	141.74$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.35	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	48c	132.4$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.85	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over	52c	126.31$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.19	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	155	60%93 W · 62 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8027…ffdebacked Under	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	32c	109.98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.49	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	47c	103.1$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.11	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Over	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under	54c	90.74$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	25c	73.65$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.41	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over	75c	73$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.25	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	35c	71.43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.43	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over	46c	61.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.43	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under	25c	61.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	41c	61.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.1	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Under	26c	51.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over	78c	51.28$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	60	68.3%41 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over	40c	49.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	52c	49.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	288	59.7%172 W · 116 L	+19.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over	41c	43.9$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.9	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48c2…2effbacked Over	37c	43.5$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	73c	41.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	62	69.4%43 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over	78c	40.28$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.86	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Over	42c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.07	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+4.8wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over	75c	39.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.96	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over	48c	35.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under	64c	31.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	65cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	67c	29$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+146.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aba…7b0cbacked Over	54c	26.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Over	47c	25.74$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.74	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over	51c	23.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.39	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Over	75c	22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.5	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over	77c	20.26$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.66	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	192	44.8%86 W · 106 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	-16.7wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5this page
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event