Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa644e9b7dad07fb1dd8fb11d1cddd4ae8651123d11999d076b3587d466380411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United FCof Newcastle United FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 6,439$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Newcastle United FC | 52c | 5,092$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.62 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Newcastle United FC | 22c | 2,307$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC | 57c | 1,997$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Newcastle United FC | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed West Ham United FC | 30c | 1,337$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.72 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 1,310$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.7 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Newcastle United FC | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.97 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked West Ham United FC | 35c | 1,136$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Newcastle United FC | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Newcastle United FC | 57c | 1,051$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.31 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Newcastle United FC | 24c | 826.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.37 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Newcastle United FC | 24c | 818.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.03 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Newcastle United FC | 22c | 760$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.6 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Newcastle United FC | 55c | 731.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked West Ham United FC | 55c | 652.31$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.77 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Newcastle United FC | 22c | 621.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.29 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Newcastle United FC | 26c | 552.46$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Newcastle United FC | 24c | 520.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.91 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked West Ham United FC | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…a49cbacked Newcastle United FC | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked West Ham United FC | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.41 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Newcastle United FC | 71c | 363.57$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Newcastle United FC | 42c | 334.04$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked West Ham United FC | 31c | 319.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed West Ham United FC | 25c | 288.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed West Ham United FC | 58c | 235$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed West Ham United FC | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Newcastle United FC | 23c | 192.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Newcastle United FC | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed West Ham United FC | 27c | 179.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked West Ham United FC | 19c | 163.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed West Ham United FC | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed West Ham United FC | 29c | 135.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed West Ham United FC | 26c | 113.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed West Ham United FC | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -5.1wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked West Ham United FC | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked West Ham United FC | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed West Ham United FC | 29c | 95.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed West Ham United FC | 75c | 82.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Newcastle United FC | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed West Ham United FC | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed West Ham United FC | 18c | 73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Newcastle United FC | 56c | 63.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Newcastle United FC | 41c | 62.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…fe5dbacked West Ham United FC | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…6d5fbacked Newcastle United FC | 69c | 57.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed West Ham United FC | 31c | 57.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…7037backed West Ham United FC | 44c | 56.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed West Ham United FC | 22c | 55.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Newcastle United FC | 41c | 54.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…a537backed Newcastle United FC | 26c | 52.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Newcastle United FC | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 45.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed West Ham United FC | 33c | 44.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked West Ham United FC | 50c | 43.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed West Ham United FC | 36c | 41.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Newcastle United FC | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked West Ham United FC | 76c | 34.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Newcastle United FC | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…7ebdbacked West Ham United FC | 77c | 27.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…f1aabacked West Ham United FC | 58c | 27.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 26.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 26.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Newcastle United FC | 67c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Newcastle United FC | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…3702backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…4f3abacked West Ham United FC | 76c | 17.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…702dbacked West Ham United FC | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 13.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.