Champions League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6aebc7096dd036681802e29b2f28ff6d6c675eda504b672966047ff41cb5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,005,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x983e…6748backed Yes | 48c | 456,400$218,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218,943.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 52c | 52,000$27,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,959.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 51c | 49,054$25,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,925.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 52c | 46,000$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,080 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 45,527$16,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,124.53 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 52c | 41,600$21,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,968 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 52c | 35,950$18,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,255.98 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 30,979$20,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,429.11 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 40c | 24,355$9,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,809.28 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 52c | 22,222$11,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,666.56 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 22,096$11,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,583.23 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 52c | 20,273$10,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,731.04 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 62c | 16,088$9,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,114.98 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 13,855$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,478.88 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 54c | 12,370$6,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.62 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked No | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 52c | 11,250$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 52c | 10,850$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.01 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.9 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 9,634$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,656.31 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 36c | 9,623$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.15 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 23c | 8,423$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 8,205$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.76 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 52c | 8,095$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 52c | 7,305$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.16 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +9.2wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 48c | 6,845$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 45c | 6,227$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 52c | 6,040$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 6,017$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.42 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa10…8ee9backed Yes | 49c | 5,780$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…db91backed Yes | 46c | 5,164$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 4,887$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.99 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 52c | 4,832$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.16 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 51c | 4,747$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 4,631$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.69 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 49c | 4,581$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 52c | 4,576$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Yes | 46c | 4,366$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 52c | 4,303$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…aa1abacked No | 48c | 4,204$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 4,194$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.07 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 4,062$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.46 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked No | 52c | 4,018$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 39c | 3,897$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 3,643$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.76 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 52c | 3,363$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.27 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 36c | 3,174$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked No | 55c | 3,069$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 3,068$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.8 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 3,000$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.75 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 52c | 2,898$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 56c | 2,815$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.2 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 52c | 2,812$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 2,787$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.32 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Yes | 46c | 2,777$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 2,670$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.94 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…f0d7backed No | 54c | 2,614$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 52c | 2,511$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 46c | 2,502$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.92 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked No | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 2,271$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.08 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 2,131$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.06 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Yes | 48c | 2,054$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 57c | 2,035$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.48 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 35c | 2,030$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.38 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…5aaebacked Yes | 48c | 2,020$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 48c | 2,012$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 52c | 1,980$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 46c | 1,925$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.69 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed No | 54c | 1,773$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 1,609$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.17 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 1,542$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.25 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed Yes | 21c | 1,445$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 51c | 1,400$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 1,366$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.54 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked No | 64c | 1,363$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 74c | 1,312$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 52c | 1,282$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.