Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c08b5c34d517c2835b1ca4c777b64223d332c48678c2f69a3e4e462ebc15cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Yes | 26c | 78,780$20,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,782.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 44,096$33,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,986.57 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 34,336$26,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.11 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 27c | 31,756$8,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,574 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 26c | 23,336$6,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,135.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 16,249$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.11 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 74c | 12,948$9,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.48 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 73c | 11,800$8,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.9 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 10,527$8,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.47 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 8,716$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.43 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 8,255$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.25 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 8,148$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.9 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 7,425$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.66 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 30c | 7,020$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 26c | 6,845$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 6,318$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.36 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Yes | 27c | 4,763$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Yes | 19c | 4,736$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 21c | 4,281$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.74 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 4,090$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.55 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 73c | 3,570$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.58 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,444$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 73c | 3,378$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.16 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 17c | 3,338$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 26c | 2,925$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.47 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…7042backed Yes | 26c | 2,714$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 2,678$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.46 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 2,618$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.59 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 2,449$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.16 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 49c | 2,394$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 2,305$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.19 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…f0d7backed Yes | 27c | 2,299$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 73c | 2,244$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…c58bbacked No | 73c | 1,795$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 1,698$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.88 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 70c | 1,568$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,514$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.42 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 74c | 1,509$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.36 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 51c | 1,473$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…ed89backed Yes | 30c | 1,347$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,338$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 74c | 1,182$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.32 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 26c | 1,149$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 1,067$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.34 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,050$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 73c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.02 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 74c | 946$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Yes | 51c | 921.57$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 866.99$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.76 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 49c | 860.95$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.08 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 76c | 819.94$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 73c | 759.27$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 26c | 739.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.67 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 664.38$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked No | 78c | 637.94$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 63c | 632.49$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 74c | 624.84$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…0c04backed Yes | 52c | 616.67$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 611.9$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 78c | 605.05$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.2wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 50c | 604.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 74c | 581.35$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 54c | 562.26$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 545$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.42 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 537$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.25 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed No | 74c | 513.51$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 509.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 499.38$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 27c | 480$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Yes | 20c | 473.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 23c | 470.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 27c | 440.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 433.42$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 19c | 426.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed No | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed No | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 12c | 399.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 25c | 399$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 396$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 25c | 381.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.