Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bdbc31e4577b893a1ff5215cb0ebec86be4f5cca9b93586a0bcc34442b74519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Under | 54c | 31,172$16,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,257.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Under | 54c | 5,466$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 3,849$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.83 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 2,863$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.24 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 2,052$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 46c | 1,914$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 46c | 1,641$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.31 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 46c | 1,568$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 6c | 1,322$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 1,307$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.41 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 1,245$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.25 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 1,221$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.66 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 1,221$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.66 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 56c | 896.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 46c | 773.15$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.92 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 633.14$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 46c | 628.05$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.9 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 593.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.97 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 44c | 542.34$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 12c | 465.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 24c | 403.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 299.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 208.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 46c | 196.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 47c | 180$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 46c | 156$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 137.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 47c | 119.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 15c | 104.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 80.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 46c | 62.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 45c | 35.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 31.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 46c | 31.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 47c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 48c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 55c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.