Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c567fb26640e9ad3655a4eea24e04233df1dd67dd01fe30f47f196e30c0c2db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 18c | 8,434$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.7 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 63c | 4,418$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 3,554$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.02 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 68c | 3,234$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.25 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 2,992$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.3 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 56c | 2,329$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.56 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 786.79$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.06 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 36c | 724$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 15c | 675.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 3c | 527.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Under | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 3c | 408.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Over | 58c | 316$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 37c | 273.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 58c | 190.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 52c | 186.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 44c | 110.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 97.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13da…730cbacked Over | 64c | 92.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 34c | 87.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 20c | 73.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 66.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 64c | 40.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 75c | 39.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 71c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed Over | 56c | 17.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.