Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cfb8462429b34e2e2074a695c3ea91159d029312bdbad1751b6c424a63f350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 5,424$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.73 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Over | 38c | 3,400$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 3,078$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.38 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 42c | 750.84$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 736$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.52 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 70c | 714$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 711.77$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 73c | 687.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 604$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.77 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 31c | 553.37$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…4938backed Under | 76c | 508.46$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 45c | 356.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 299.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 15c | 275.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 54c | 240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 61c | 205.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 49c | 147.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 21c | 136.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 74c | 135.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 56c | 127.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 95.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 56c | 92.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 86.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 48c | 80.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 68c | 78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 44c | 72.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 28c | 38.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 36.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 35.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…393ebacked Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 67c | 30.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 66c | 26.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 59c | 22.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.