Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc4e8796a9aba317fd3662e48f2f5e06fc0e20d223fb7bfac148d87947f27d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 56c | 3,248$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.69 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Yes | 69c | 2,572$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 36c | 2,342$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.12 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 1,546$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.73 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 67c | 202$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 192.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 67c | 169$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 32c | 157.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 68c | 155.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 33c | 152.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 139.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 64c | 133.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 133.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 42c | 130$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 67c | 115.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 65c | 97.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 80.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 65.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed No | 76c | 65.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Yes | 25c | 60.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 67c | 59.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 54.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 42.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 53c | 42.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes | 52c | 41.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 40c | 28.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 25.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.