Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb37d2ddc7cc5022b51876e9a11c5a043988eb859aac85018a6e91d87966afd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: AFC Bournemouthof Manchester City FC, AFC Bournemouth
Resolved: Aug 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,756 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Manchester City FC	43c	5,634$2,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,422.62	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	4,500$2,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,935.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth	64c	3,571$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.71	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked AFC Bournemouth	57c	3,526$2,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500.44	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	3,504$2,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.09	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	3,239$1,846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,392.87	1,179	50%590 W · 589 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed AFC Bournemouth	67c	3,161$2,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036.33	953	32.5%310 W · 643 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed AFC Bournemouth	58c	3,137$1,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.42	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Manchester City FC	43c	2,895$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	176	34.1%60 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Manchester City FC	29c	2,760$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.37	812	34.7%282 W · 530 L	-24.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Manchester City FC	38c	2,400$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Manchester City FC	13c	2,308$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Manchester City FC	43c	2,066$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.38	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed AFC Bournemouth	58c	1,973$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.47	97	35.1%34 W · 63 L	-9.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Manchester City FC	43c	1,892$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.77	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked AFC Bournemouth	58c	1,828$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.94	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	57cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed AFC Bournemouth	62c	1,686$1,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.55	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	1,221$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.38	553	51.9%287 W · 266 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Manchester City FC	42c	1,200$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	141	58.2%82 W · 59 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Manchester City FC	43c	1,163$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Manchester City FC	44c	1,159$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.13	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Manchester City FC	40c	999.98$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.99	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf8b…27efbacked Manchester City FC	17c	948.34$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed AFC Bournemouth	56c	886.05$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.22	578	47.8%276 W · 302 L	+18.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0972…f1c4backed AFC Bournemouth	58c	862.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.07	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Manchester City FC	14c	857.14$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC	30c	736.02$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.24	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed AFC Bournemouth	62c	719.04$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.84	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	699.98$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.99	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Manchester City FC	43c	697.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Manchester City FC	42c	614$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.79	532	40%213 W · 319 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked AFC Bournemouth	79c	604.16$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.92	452	49.6%224 W · 228 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Manchester City FC	43c	581.4$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa484…9004backed AFC Bournemouth	58c	564.97$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Manchester City FC	41c	511$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.51	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed AFC Bournemouth	59c	508.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.47	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Manchester City FC	42c	500.92$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	+19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Manchester City FC	43c	473.8$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.73	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…8266backed Manchester City FC	43c	449.49$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.28	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3cf…9dc0backed Manchester City FC	43c	359.42$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked AFC Bournemouth	57c	353.95$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.95	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	353.08$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.08	25	48%12 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Manchester City FC	43c	348.84$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed AFC Bournemouth	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked AFC Bournemouth	57c	313.34$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.73	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Manchester City FC	43c	279.55$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Manchester City FC	14c	242.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed AFC Bournemouth	62c	240.39$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.35	209	56%117 W · 92 L	+15.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Manchester City FC	43c	233.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Manchester City FC	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	232	20.7%48 W · 184 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked Manchester City FC	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Manchester City FC	17c	229.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Manchester City FC	43c	228.04$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.86	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-4.7wins	-0.21per pick	53cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Manchester City FC	46c	227.24$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.53	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Manchester City FC	43c	222.09$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Manchester City FC	43c	219.74$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.49	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4014…27bfbacked Manchester City FC	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked AFC Bournemouth	62c	214$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.32	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	+13.5wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Manchester City FC	45c	211.13$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.76	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed AFC Bournemouth	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Manchester City FC	46c	189.49$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.03	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed AFC Bournemouth	59c	176$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.16	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Manchester City FC	41c	176$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.16	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	173.95$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.8	157	40.1%63 W · 94 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Manchester City FC	44c	170.45$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5149…52b2backed AFC Bournemouth	58c	168.86$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f5…698cbacked Manchester City FC	43c	167.44$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb092…534bbacked Manchester City FC	11c	163.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.25per pick	32cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Manchester City FC	37c	160.6$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.24	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1eb…9d42backed Manchester City FC	42c	138.02$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…5ae1backed Manchester City FC	27c	129.57$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed AFC Bournemouth	59c	121.71$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.04	1,615	34.9%564 W · 1,051 L	-28.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed AFC Bournemouth	59c	120$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc81…3f87backed Manchester City FC	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Manchester City FC	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x530a…4961backed Manchester City FC	42c	110.76$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.52	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed AFC Bournemouth	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb580…9ba2backed AFC Bournemouth	55c	99.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f74…97b6backed Manchester City FC	44c	90.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	26cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked AFC Bournemouth	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	109	50.5%55 W · 54 L	+11.5wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+32%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Manchester City FC	46c	78.7$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	78.26$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.04	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	+7.0wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Manchester City FC	20c	73.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked AFC Bournemouth	57c	73$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.39	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb723…f9ffbacked Manchester City FC	43c	73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa577…fcd5backed Manchester City FC	43c	70$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…03f9backed Manchester City FC	44c	68.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7589…2775backed AFC Bournemouth	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe577…6d01backed AFC Bournemouth	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c0…53f9backed Manchester City FC	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Manchester City FC	43c	58.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.14	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee0…64b1backed Manchester City FC	43c	58.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	57.65$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.79	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0270…96dbbacked Manchester City FC	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b2a…a65abacked AFC Bournemouth	58c	54.93$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.07	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+38%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf122…7110backed AFC Bournemouth	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked AFC Bournemouth	78c	51.78$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.57	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb302…702dbacked AFC Bournemouth	58c	50.66$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.28	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 2.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event