TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,592 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c12,516$1,349 inLost-$1,348.761,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under15c4,474$650 inLost-$649.650450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under8c987.05$79 inLost-$78.9669851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under8c800.15$64 inLost-$64.0181053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over58c424.52$246 inWon+$178.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under8c376$30 inLost-$30.0859332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under8c337.01$27 inLost-$26.9660445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over47c337$157 inWon+$180.285429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c6f…5b81backed Over46c315.96$145 inWon+$170.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c283.66$74 inLost-$73.841,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under9c212$19 inLost-$19.0811217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over51c170.94$88 inWon+$83.3114645.9%67 W · 79 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over73c134.83$98 inWon+$36.44266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under10c131.02$13 inLost-$13.112448.4%60 W · 64 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under10c130.94$13 inLost-$13.0910163.4%64 W · 37 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadca…16b0backed Under21c71.43$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over61c45$27 inWon+$17.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c45…a108backed Over74c43.99$33 inWon+$11.44366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over57c40.77$23 inWon+$17.5521350.2%107 W · 106 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…a6c2backed Over78c39.91$31 inWon+$8.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf98…ffc6backed Under64c31.46$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over43c30.73$13 inWon+$17.584957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x968d…7537backed Under39c25.69$10 inLost-$10.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.