TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c14,118$5,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,625.5295332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under36c13,840$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,982.462441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c13,818$8,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,974.1553240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c12,521$4,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,869.414,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c9,507$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,658.217436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c7,996$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.046,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over67c7,720$5,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.657847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Under75c6,726$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.78666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under33c5,754$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over67c5,601$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.3313742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over60c4,988$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Over37c4,950$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over40c4,518$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.481952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c4,389$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.1274056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over58c4,138$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.931566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under3c3,828$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x283c…ba51backed Under8c3,106$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over48c3,082$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.34450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+127.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over68c2,927$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.3742240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under69c2,767$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.171936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under46c2,710$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.1381234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under80c2,654$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over32c2,650$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.321,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c2,408$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7245249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over51c2,353$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over65c2,244$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.3955351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under74c2,169$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under52c2,148$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over67c2,039$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.491,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under51c1,963$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over51c1,951$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Over59c1,405$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Over26c1,054$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over36c1,040$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.0220059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over55c1,035$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.751540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Under33c1,024$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Over57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under35c965.17$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3379735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over45c899.98$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.994841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf6…dd05backed Over29c862.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+84%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under30c802.56$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.423735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over70c778.59$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over22c760.62$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.8777236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under20c696.33$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.27540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under45c689.1$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.14434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c686.14$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6196445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Over25c683.74$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+100.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c649.99$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9927955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over59c633.9$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.91952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+55.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under45c616.21$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8912654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over67c610.02$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.316225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over65c606.18$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over63c605.41$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5769651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under33c603.03$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1994953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over64c594.07$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed Under72c583.72$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over18c554.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6322443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over45c529.87$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.71450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over70c503.5$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.193452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over58c480$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under43c467.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under66c454.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Over50c454$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa598…aa4fbacked Under10c441.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over38c422.65$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0569742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under72c417.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over33c402.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8418253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over51c377.3$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.16357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under56c376.9$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.059358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.131963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Over16c358.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+135.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under56c354.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.869660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d292backed Over57c350$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over47c333$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4941243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over29c327.45$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+239.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Over59c324.25$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Over68c322.57$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over52c315.64$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.186746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over64c306.21$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2321440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under27c303.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0412045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb89…82aabacked Over78c300.06$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.344100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+96.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10515347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1841…87efbacked Over30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a80…6b2bbacked Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+400%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c297.82$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.71,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under32c296.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2311049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over67c290$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.77950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.