Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda6a6927fc71d0c9be7d98c151d277d0172474e1642da63133844ab7789184f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Riyadh Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 11,971$6,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 8c | 5,612$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.81 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 3,677$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.97 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 3,433$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 10c | 2,029$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 1,551$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.53 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 16c | 1,490$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.36 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 43c | 1,128$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.77 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 895.02$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 74c | 752.68$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.81 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 43c | 632.73$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.07 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 631.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.05 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 70c | 541$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 72c | 494.32$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 431.09$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 62c | 182.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…9e78backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 138$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 133.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 54c | 112.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 62c | 100.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 43c | 78.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 42c | 65.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 45c | 47.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 55c | 33.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 79c | 26.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 43c | 25.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…580abacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 0.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.