TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Under56c10,140$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,650.0974739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under26c5,905$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.3312639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c3,490$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.152,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over76c3,306$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.5615772%113 W · 44 L+33.9wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c2,985$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.991,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c2,808$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.1382842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,778$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.791,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over58c2,758$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.3789245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over48c2,567$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under26c2,362$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.871833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over47c2,348$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.897149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.975244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under54c1,805$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.54042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under34c1,600$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.122015%3 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over47c1,552$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.4217041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c1,498$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.992,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under26c1,436$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.591921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over45c1,305$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4229432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c1,242$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.232,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c1,220$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.481,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under53c1,135$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c1,108$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.771,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under53c1,103$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.581827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c914.68$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.0739649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c911.55$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.945,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over41c807.75$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1127964.9%181 W · 98 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over45c699.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.998854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over51c642.14$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7921574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c486.17$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.31,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over72c463.59$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over46c414.07$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.62825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over49c410.46$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over49c410.45$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15211731.6%37 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Over49c392.16$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63ab…eb49backed Under48c384.62$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Over47c376.79$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+55.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c374.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.181,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c346.68$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8134847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over71c344.35$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2928251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e91…391dbacked Over46c323.7$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c300$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16738849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under40c292.25$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.919753.8%106 W · 91 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under30c260$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7413048.5%63 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under55c240.32$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.974163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under8c240.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2210949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c232.04$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.381,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under19c227.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.491520%3 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over65c195.36$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4227148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under48c193$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2319340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under41c174.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.744961.2%30 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over75c159.35$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.848859.1%52 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under53c140.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1253946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked Over39c123.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Under49c122.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+57.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over52c121.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.715160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under22c116.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5726136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c109.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.471,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5542351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under57c97.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4715850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under48c96.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1332654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2f…4aacbacked Over47c89.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under30c87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8619354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over46c86.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under52c83.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.336349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.815826.6%42 W · 116 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over49c79.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.687349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over54c77.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0642625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over45c77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6823347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.741,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under31c72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.028143.2%35 W · 46 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over70c70.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under38c70.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.82638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under40c66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5718161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over46c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.883545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+71.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Over45c56.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.984560%27 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over57c52.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.364257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over46c47.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.832763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over49c46.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0512242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Under54c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over69c42.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.263237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Under39c40.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over49c40.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.84621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe30f…ab88backed Under50c40.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under43c38.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.177553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under54c35.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.047428.4%21 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over52c34.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.621291.7%11 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.45per pick47cpaid+101.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over64c32.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.